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|Posted on December 31, 2013 at 9:03 PM|
Our Predictions for 2014
In Politics:The 3-way war between mainstream Republicans, the Tea Party, and big-money outside conservative groups will heat up, with no clear winner comes time for the mid-term elections in November when House and Senate members are up for re-election. Democrats will retain control of the Senate and gain seats in the House of Representatives.
Republicans will act more moderate and reasonable, but will continue to hold the same old lines of budget cuts, money-making schemes for the rich, de-regulation, war on women, rigging the electoral map, obstructing the president’s agenda, demonizing the healthcare law, and using degrading and inflammatory language to smear minorities.
Republicans will raise the debt ceiling without threats to the healthcare law or the economy.
Congress will not raise the minimum wage, or pass immigration or gun laws. Meanwhile, more mass shootings will continue to shock the collective consciousness and all 3 of these issues will play out in the 2016 general elections.
Southern states will continue to pass new voter suppression laws, abortion restriction laws, and ban on gay marriage.
The Affordable Care Act will reach its full implementation and will be sufficiently successful to prevent Republicans from making electoral gains by using it as a wedge issue.
In Foreign Policy: Diplomacy will continue to dominate U.S. Foreign Policy under the leadership of President Obama. Secretary of State John Kerry will succeed in brokering a permanent agreement on Iran’s nuclear program with negotiators from the European Union under the supervision of the United Nations.Republicans and Democrats will try to derail the process by passing sanctions against Iran in the middle of the negotiations. In the civil war in Syria, Secretary of John Kerry will help to broker a cease fire.
The war in Afghanistan will wind down with few if any U.S. troops remaining due to differences between the U.S. and Afghan President Hamid Karsai on how to come to an agreement regarding post-war security issues.
Egypt will not regain its footing and the Muslim Brotherhood will continue to face off with the Egyptian military, even if the Egyptians hold new elections to elect a new president. Egypt will remain at risk of falling back into dictatorship.
The Obama administration will launch new efforts to establish a diplomatic solution between the Israeli and the Palestinians. These new rounds of diplomatic efforts will show promise for success and will continue into 2015.
Al-Qaeda and inspired outgrowths will maintain attack campaigns concentrated in the Middle East and Africa.
The Economy:The U.S. economy will continue to grow to the benefit of top earners and investors. The Stock Market will reach new height and bubble. The unemployment rate will fall to 6.5%. The jobs that will be created will continue to be in the temporary and low-wage sectors. Economic disparity will grow and poverty will increase. The “American Dream” will remain elusive to most, particularly younger people, new graduates, and minorities. China and the European economy will grow at a faster pace than that of the U.S.
In Religion:Pope Francis will reach deeper to provide new directions to the church and will consider making changes to the dogma of the Catholic Church. The Catholicism will grow stronger and that will weaken other denominations.
Social Issues: Gay marriage will be made law in half of the country and resisting states will struggle to hang on to unconstitutional bans, which will be struck down one by one in Court.
The Supreme Court will revisit the healthcare law and defeat further challenges to the law.
In Government: Republicans will try to invent new scandals to saddle around the Obama administration and seek to write articles of impeachment against the president.
Edward Snowden will release new classified documents about the NSA. The NSA spying program will reach the Supreme Court and provisions of it will be found unconstitutional. The government will strike a deal with Snowden.
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